Monday, February 13, 2012

Economy Impacting News from Around the World

Here on our own turf, President Obama is proposing a new "Seven Step" budget plan to Congress in hopes of cutting the country's deficit by $4 trillion over the next 10 years. He will do this by raising taxes and cutting expenditures. However, this plan is likely to cause a larger deficit first before it reduces it. The expectation is $1.33 trillion in 2012 and $1 trillion in 2013. This is mostly due to the government trying to pull the struggling economy out of the gutter, such as helping homeowners to refinance at lower rates across the board to clear up much of the underwater housing market. Here's to hoping this plan really will help the citizens and in turn reduce the deficit which is currently at a staggering $15 trillion.

Moving on to Greece. As you may know, its outraged citizens have been rioting and burning down buildings in protest to Greece's "Austerity Plans". The Greek Parliament is currently in the process of trying to receive a fresh bailout from these austerity measures. This move means that mortgage bonds will be trading lower. These plans are not yet set in stone, however. The Finance Ministers of the Eurozone will meet on Wednesday to discuss the approval of Greece's austerity plan. Greece is hoping to receive these bailout funds by the March 20th deadline, but it will not be a quick fix for all of their problems.

Lastly, we look at the Middle East. Iran is building up their nuclear capabilities against Israel. The countries are feuding and it is expected that Israel may make a pre-emptive strike on Iran because they do not appreciate Iran pointing their weapons in their direction. This affects oil prices. Now at $100 a barrel, this feud is partially to blame for that. If they go to war, who knows what may happen to the prices and how it will effect the rest of the world. It may even bring about some safe haven buying of US bonds.

The current of the Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) 3.5% Bonds are $103.41, + 3bp. Because of this, we do want to encourage that you exercise caution while floating.

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