Update on Pending Home Sales in November

According to the National Association of Realtors, the month of November saw some stabilization where pending home sales are concerned. They received a slight gain. There were also some monthly increases in the South and the West that managed to make up for certain declines in the Northeast and the Midwest.

Have you ever heard of the Pending Home Sales Index? Well, if not, it is based on contract signings of existing homes on a large national sample that makes up about 20% of all transactions in the country.  According to that index, the number of signings increased by 0.2% to a score of 101.7 in November. Keep in mind that it does not account for closings, just contracts. This is good news for the economy.

NAR's chief economist, Lawrence Yun, had plenty to say about the market in a recent interview. He said, “We may have reached a cyclical low because the positive fundamentals of job creation and household formation are likely to foster a fairly stable level of contract activity in 2014. Although the final months of 2013 are finishing on a soft note, the year as a whole will end with the best sales total in seven years.”

As of now, mortgage interest rates are a bit higher but still relatively low when compared to years past. We have also seen strong gains in home prices that add to the overall market growth that we should expect to continue to see in 2014.

The market is still kind to buyers right now which means that we could see as much as $5.1 million in existing-home sales for 2013. That figure is nearly 10% more than 2012 experienced, and it is expected that 2014 should be similar.

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Tight Mortgage Requirements Rough on Singles and First-Time Buyers

According to a study by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), there are still some unnecessarily restrictive mortgage lending standards in place that are not allowing some singles and first-time buyers to financially qualify for a home. These tend to have to do with tight credit requirements. Since 1981, NAR has been evaluating the demographics, preferences, motivations and plans of those who have recently bought or sold a home. This data includes only owner-occupants, not investors or vacation homes.

“Single home buyers have been suppressed for the past three years by restrictive mortgage lending standards, which favor dual-income households who are more likely to have higher credit scores,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. “Not seen in this survey is the elevated level of investors in recent years. The housing recovery would have been much weaker without investors, who often purchase with cash.”

According to the survey, 66% of buyers are married couples. In 2010 that number was 58%. The survey also saw that 16% of homebuyers are single women but only 9% are single men. Compared to 2010's 20% single women and 12% single men, the data shows that the overall market share of single buyers has declined from 32% in 2010 to 25% in both 2012 and 2013.

“Given that mortgage interest rates are expected to gradually rise, we need greater access to credit for a sounder housing recovery," said Yun. "Affordability conditions remain favorable in much of the country, but consumers need access to safe and sound financing, particularly the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, and with low downpayment options for first-time buyers."

When looking at the averages that date back to 2981, it shows that 4 out of 10 purchases come from first-time buyers. In 2012, first-timers accounted for a 39% market share, but that number has slipped to 38% this year. This means that there are fewer first-time buyers in today's market than average. It is important to note that first-timers are very important for the housing market's recovery because they are the ones that help existing home owners to sell.

If you are in need of a home soon, we can help! If you are a single and/or first-time buyer, please don't hesitate to call us! We'd love to do everything we can to help you get into a home! Call Crosscountry Mortgage today at (877) 828-8851.

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The Importance of the FHA

Here at Quest Loans, we specialize in FHA Loans. Many people don't realize that the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) has a very important role in the mortgage industry. When the private mortgage market collapsed, the FHA stepped up to help make mortgage insurance available to millions of qualified home buyers across the nation. 80 years ago, Congress actually designed the mortgage insurance fund to do just that.

To prove how crucial the FHA is, the National Association of Realtors put together a testimony before the Senate Banking Committee praising the administration. According to NAR President Gary Thomas, without the FHA the housing downturn and economic recession would most likely have been far worse for the nation.

“FHA continues to play a significant role in the housing market and recovery. We applaud them for their leadership and strength during the housing crisis, and for continuing to serve the needs of hardworking American families who wish to purchase a home,” said Thomas, who is also the broker-owner of Evergreen Realty, in Villa Park, Calif.

He also noted that the FHA has always provided access to mortgage financing and it has never offered risky mortgage products, used predatory lending practices, or engaged in exotic underwriting. However, the FHA incurred great financial losses as a result of overall market conditions that led to increased foreclosures.

Despite this, Thomas said that the NAR is confident that the FHA is moving closer to helping to stabilize the mortgage insurance fund, and they've also made many administrative changes to minimize risk. Those changes include five increases to mortgage insurance premiums since 2009, implementing credit score floors, hiring a credit risk officer, requiring higher down-payments for those who have lower credit scores, and putting a series of measures in place to increase their lender responsibility and enforcement.

“FHA currently has one of the strongest books on record and the quality of borrowers has skyrocketed; continued market improvements and rising home prices will also help improve the fund’s future financial condition,” said Thomas. “Had FHA not stepped in to fill the market gap, many families would have been unable to purchase homes, current homeowners would have experienced far greater drops in equity and their home’s value, and our nation’s economy would be much further from a recovery.”

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Home Prices Increase at Strongest Level in 7 Years!

According to the latest quarterly report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), several metropolitan areas had higher median home prices in Q4 of 2012. In fact, 2012 proved to have the strongest year-over-year increase that we've seen in the past 7 years. On top of that, housing affordability in metro areas has reached record high conditions.

“Home sales are on a sustained uptrend, mortgage interest rates are hovering near record lows and unsold inventory is at the lowest level in 12 years,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. “Home sales are being fueled by a pent-up demand and job creation, along with still favorable affordability conditions and rents rising at faster rates. Our population has been growing faster than overall housing stock, so supply and demand dynamics are very much at play.”

He also said that in order to relieve some of the pressure in the market, there needs to be more housing construction. This will help to keep home prices from overheating.

There are always many factors that could contribute to skewing the price growth percentages. Data is taken from across the nation to create these statistics. Sometimes you will see average prices, but medians are more typical than average prices. Taking the median price is where half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less.

In Q4, the national median existing single-family home price was $178,900. This figure is an increase of 10% from $162,600 in Q4 of 2011.

According to Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit a record low 3.36% in Q4 of 2012, which is down from 3.54% in Q3, and 4.01% in Q4 of 2011.

“In reality, home prices over-corrected on the downside and homes in most of the country were selling for less than replacement construction costs, which means they were undervalued,” said NAR President Gary Thomas, broker-owner of Evergreen Realty in Villa Park, CA. “At the same time we've had record low mortgage interest rates and slow but steady improvements in median family income. Combined, these factors boosted housing affordability conditions to the highest on record in 2012.”

If you are familiar with how the Housing Affordability Index works, you'll know that it is calculated based on the relationship between the median home price, the median family income, and the average effective mortgage interest rate. A high index means a strong household purchasing power; the higher the better. Therefore, an index of 100 is defined as the middle ground. At this point, a median-income household has exactly enough income to qualify for a median-priced home, (with a 20% down-payment and 25% of their gross income being devoted to their mortgage payment). The affordability levels are lower for first-time buyers who make small down-payments.

That said, the NAR's annual Housing Affordability Index rose to a record high 193.5 in 2012, which is up from 186.4 in 2011.

“The housing affordability index shows that the national median income of families was almost double the income needed to buy a median-priced home in 2012, so most buyers are able to stay well within their means,” Yun said. “Even with rising home prices, conditions are expected to stay very favorable with the index averaging 161 in 2013, which would be the third best on record.”

If you are seeking to purchase a home in 2013, give Quest Loans a call! We can help you start the qualification process right away! 888-883-5252

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Existing-Home Sales Prices Increased 3.4%

According to the National Association of Realtors, existing-home sales have increased in the month of April, and home prices are continuing to climb. These sales rose 3.4% compared to March throughout the country. This is a good indication that the housing market is finally recovering. It is not just the investors who are buying these homes anymore, we are seeing an increase in homes being sold to actual occupants again. This is helping home sales of all prices, causing the market to become more balanced. Housing inventory rose 9.5% at the end of April, totaling out at 2.54 million existing homes that are for sale. The national median price for an existing home is $177,400, which is up 10.1% from last April. It is expected that 2013 will bring further increase in sale prices.

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March Saw Increase in Home Sales

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) says that the housing market is definitely recovering. Pending home sales have increased in the month of March, putting them well above where they were a year ago. Since there is an overall national increase in sales, the inventory is slowly being lowered which helps to bring a balance to the housing market. This indicates that home prices will also be rising through 2012. In fact, first quarter sales closings were at higher levels this year than they have been in the past 5 years. According to the lastest contract signing activities, we should also see great data for the 2nd quarter.

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