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Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts

Friday, November 15, 2013

Housing Market Predictions for 2014

Good news! It is predicted that through 2014, existing-home sales are expected to stay on the up and up! 2013 has been a great year full of healthy gains and that momentum looks like it will continue.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), existing-home sales have show a 20% cumulative increase over the past two years! Home prices have gained 18% too!

“We’ve come off of record high housing affordability conditions in the past year, and are now at a five-year low, but conditions are still the fifth best in the past 40 years,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the NAR. “While the median-income family in many areas will still be well positioned to buy a home in 2014, income is barely budging given growth in consumer prices.”

Other issues include limited housing inventories that make it hard for homeowners to find an affordable place that they love. Once they do find the perfect home, they then have to face unnecessarily strict mortgage lending standards. These restrictive policies stem from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's rising fees, higher premiums from the FHA, and the Dodd-Frank banking regulations.  All of these have had a negative impact on community banks. Larger banks are said to be holding on to funds just in case they are sued by the Department of Justice. This takes away from available to mortgage borrowers, thus the tighter qualification requirements.

“Although home sales have recovered over the past two years, mortgage purchase applications have been flat for the past four years, even with rising sales,” Yun said.

2014 may see a dramatic decrease in refinancings because of higher mortgage rates. It may even hit the lowest levels we've seen in 15 years! To counterbalance this collapse, purchase applications will really need to rise.  “This is an incentive for banks to increase mortgage origination, especially considering the low default rates in recent years. But even with cheap mortgages for the past four years, all-cash buyers stayed high, accounting for over 30 percent of sales,” he said.

According to Yun, the only way that higher mortgage interest rates can be tolerated is if there is an increase in job creation as well as a relaxation of restrictive lending standards. And the only way to alleviate housing inventory shortages is to have an increase in housing starts. They need to rise 50% in order to meet the underlying demand!

Right now, the best thing we can do to help the housing market is to consider purchasing a home in 2014. Lock in the lowest rate possible and pay the mortgage every month. The more stability we can individually achieve, the better the whole economy can be in the long run.

If you are in the market for a new home, give us a call at 877-828-8851. We'd love to help you get through the mortgage process and into your dream home!

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Outlook for the Housing Market in 2012

As of December 2011, unemployment rates fell to their lowest level in three years with the addition of 200,000 jobs. This means good news overall for the real estate market since the country's economy is beginning to improve. This recovery is essential for the housing market and it is expected to continue throughout 2012. As we reported earlier, the Fed has announced that interest rates will not be raised until 2014 in the hopes of continuing in this economy recovery. The interest rates are currently at historic lows and are expected to stay that way to ensure a slow but steady rise by the end of the year. Therefore, taking out a mortgage is a very affordable thing at this time.

Predictions for the 2012 housing market include these continued low interest rates as well as the stabilization of home prices. This should lead to an increase in home sales: roughly 12% of existing homes and 74% of new homes; and there will also be a rise in inventory mostly due to increased foreclosures throughout the country. Distressed properties will make up about half of all home sales. There will also be an improved short-sale process so we can further avoid foreclosures. Homeownership rates are expected to continue to fall. Foreign and domestic investors will be likely to buy 25% of homes. And there will be an increased reliance on real estate agents in 2012. We will continue to report on these matters to see if these predictions pan out over the next year.

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